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Electricity price predictions

 
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Electricity, Tariffs, Monitoring, Electrics & Providers
Last Post by Papahuhu 20 minutes ago
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 Rob of York
(@rob-of-york)
Reputable Member Member
Joined: 2 months ago
Posts: 149
05/11/2026 10:04 am  

Interesting meeting. Attempting to at least partially answer the question that was ducked right at the beginning - how long can Dunkelflaute last?

Here is an example from

https://www.energydashboard.co.uk/historical

Select 2nd Nov 2024 as the start date and 7 day view.

Dunkelflaute

This is a complete week of Dunkelflaute at a time of year when temperatures are low. It continued from 2nd to 10th Nov. Gas plus solar provided less than 12% of the generation capacity needed during those first 7 days. That's a simple recent example of the scale of the task involved in getting gas completely off the electricity grid. 

2777 GWh came from gas during that 7 day period alongside 608 GWh from wind, 42 GWh from solar, 35 GWh from pumped storage, and 51 GWh from hydro. It's a big ask (understatement) to fill a 2777 GWh gap using long term storage, as of Oct 2026 total UK battery storage capacity was around 14 GWh.



   
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 Papahuhu
(@papahuhu)
Honorable Member Member
Joined: 1 year ago
Posts: 443
05/11/2026 10:18 am  

@rob-of-york 

sounds like a term that Heidegger would use to describe the human condition, rather than a meteorological state. 



   
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