Electricity price predictions
Posted by: @tim441Interesting article on Interconnectors...
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/gift/a552809abbf2e670If Interconnectors stopped for any reason (political...energy demand in other countries.. or even Russia cutting them?)... we don't seem to have any backup or alternative to outages?
The problem is not particularly about 'interconnectors' which are merely a symptom, (or propaganda about 'Russians'), the problem is a privatised grid run for years as a source of profit with minimal investment. It's the same story with all our infrastructure in Britain.
Of course, all you folks who can afford batteries &/or solar are mostly covered. However, most people aren't and as the grid system struggles (which would be happening whether we have renewable generators or not) they are going to pay through the nose for these political failures. This in turn will feed into the naysayers, rinse & repeat.
The only likelihood of being able to mitigate any of this is community energy installations and P2P trading. But Britain is far behind on both of these scores. Sadly.
Community energy installations are a great idea, but the public are made afraid by the press, so its unlikely to happen.
Hoping to be proven wrong!
@tim441 I have said it for years to accusations, even here of conspiracy and fear mongering.
Our supply is only as good as the next cycle.
Norway supplies us 40% of our Gas (used for generation) as well as Hydro.
I agree there are no contingency plans for disruption to Interconnects for whatever reason.
Our local council have 'warm spaces' set aside for people cold and struggling with bills, care homes relying on heating to maintain thd vulnerable.
2021, I made contact with a councillor involved with Welfare and highlighted the risks of prolonged Blackouts with no Plan B.
After he contact Ben Wallace MP who came back with the statement that Blackouts "were possible, but unlikely", I received a very snotty "have a great Christmas" reply from the councillor.
This risk is very real and contingency to a boiler operating in a power outage is a matter of having a battery or EV available to run it.
Apparently I'm nuts, but one day I will be proven correct and have kept copies of emails ready for and public enquiry investigating the deaths of care home residents during prolonged outages in Winter.
65kwh batteries here with generator and 5kwh stand alone charger available along with Propane to to run it if needed.
Seems Poland have put their citizens on 5hr availability of call-up today and swords are rattling louder.
@bontwoody I think it is a difference of consumption. I work with heavy users of energy where a minimum system comprises if 16kwh of batteries, usually 32kwh.
My mother is enjoying EDF Sunday Saver today and even batch cooking, washer and drying for herself and my sister with some additional heating would break 10kwh.
We're also on 16hrs free electricity today and currently with 3hrs to go, at over 110kwh taken for free.
Yes - we use a lot of Energy..
For us, it's either free from the roof, Sunday Saver or 12p per kwh at night.
I do not understand why there is no push into Air2Air as a cheaper alternative when I meet many looking at Heat Pumps to a conversation that the Heat Pump is dropped in favourable of Solar / Battery plus A2A instead.
The maths just do not add up on installations with no Solar, Batteries or subsidised Tariffs against a Gas boiler guaranteed to give heat on a very cold nights.
I'm all for going green but here, we buh cheap overnight and run A2A with boiler as back up.
4 nights last winter we used boiler. The rest was A2A saving us £100 per month.
Well.. EDF Sunday Saver..
So far today 116kwh with 3hrs to go.
Currently charging 6x 16kwh batteries at 5kw and unlikely to hit 100% even though the 90'C Solis has been at it since 8am this morning.
1x EV charge
5x washes cycles
3x dryer cycles
3x dishwasher cycles
3x 80l Hot Water tanks
5hrs A2A
5hrs Oil Heaters
Scheme just been extended into October so 100+kwh free every weekend for the next 8weeks.
@diverted-energy Big fan of A2A having lived through a couple of Maltese winters. 😁 I also have one in my kitchen which is large but no room for more radiators.
Definitely worth considering rather than A2W as long as blown air heating isn't a problem for you.
House-2 bed partial stone bungalow, 5kW Samsung Gen 6 ASHP (Self install)
6.9 kWp of PV
5kWh DC coupled battery
Blog: https://thegreeningofrosecottage.weebly.com/
Heatpump Stats: http://heatpumpmonitor.org/system/view?id=60
@diverted-energy sounds like good tariff for you. Octopus Intelligent Go works for us. It’s finding the right tariff for your usage and home systems.
Daikin Altherma 3H HT 12kWh ASHP with Mixergy h/w cylinder; 4kW solar PV with Solic 200 electric diverter; Honda e and new Hyundai Ioniq 5 N electric vehicles with Myenergi Zappi mk1 charger
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